Saudi Arabia: Reform comes with social responsibility
On April 25, the Saudi government will unveil its "Vision for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia", a sweeping package of economic reforms that includes the widely-reported "National Transformation Programme" as well as the privatisation of oil giant Saudi Aramco and Riyadh's new Public Investment Fund.
While the media narrative surrounding the plan for a post-oil Saudi Arabia largely focuses on the Kingdom's potential for financial growth and investment, the social context surrounding these reforms demands a closer look.
To date, news of this privatisation and diversification drive has drawn understandable scepticism from many quarters. How can Riyadh, the world's largest oil producer, wean itself off the petrodollar in the midst of a crash in oil prices?
..In a region ravaged by economic, political and social strife, the G20 member and World Bank key player enjoys both the financial and human capital to make reforms other countries in the Arab world might not be able to undertake.
Reliance on petrodollars
If the Kingdom achieves its stated goals, the Saudi push to reduce reliance on petrodollars will be nothing less than a momentous transformation of a country most closely associated with oil fields.
However, the success or failure of this effort will come down to whether it can foresee and inhibit potentially adverse consequences that could follow policy changes of this scale.
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By building necessary infrastructure while divesting certain publicly administered services, the Kingdom can indeed kick-start non-oil growth while alleviating its financial burden.
This potential, however, requires more than a mere "economic"
transformation. It also requires acknowledgement and encouragement - by
the state and foreign investors alike - of Saudi Arabia's profound and
ongoing generational shifts.
Nevertheless, diversification, privatisation, and the opening of the Saudi market to outside investors (especially with recent reforms
that facilitate foreign investment) could well make the Kingdom a
global investment and trade destination, to the benefit of international
markets and Saudi citizens alike.
In privatising public ventures (like airports), the Kingdom is seeking broad institutional changes it hopes will be spearheaded by public-private partnerships.
Sources of non-oil income
The idea of creating airport free zones in
Riyadh and Jeddah would provide for additional sources of non-oil
income but also create laboratories for local, regional and foreign
companies and industries alike. The impact of such changes, however,
will not be limited to Saudi finances. They have the potential to impact
Saudi society as well. In fact, they already are.
With oil prices likely to stay low for the foreseeable future, the
Kingdom is cognisant of its need for outside investment to make up for
reduced revenues.
Since joining the SkyTeam airline alliance in May 2012, for
example, Saudi airports have begun hosting transit passengers from
across the world. This has prompted the hitherto unimaginable breakdown
of social and cultural barriers between Saudis and the outside world.
While middle and upper-class Saudis have for decades travelled
abroad, airport employees and domestic travellers in the Kingdom's
international airports are coming into regular contact with transit
passengers from abroad for the first time.
These fellow travellers represent previously impossible contact
with the outside world at a time when Saudis face above-average
scrutiny for visas to most Western nations.
With oil prices likely to stay low for the foreseeable future,
the Kingdom is cognisant of its need for outside investment to make up
for reduced revenues.
Just this week, Saudi Arabia took out
a $10bn five-year loan from a consortium of global banks - its first
sovereign loan since 1991. This effort to raise the Saudi borrowing
profile will be an important part of the necessary shift from Aramco to
the Public Investment Fund as the primary financial organ of the
Kingdom.
Aside from opening Aramco, the new economic programme aims to
attract foreign investment in an increasingly service-oriented local
consumer culture by expanding Saudi's retail and healthcare sectors with
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Saudi officials indicate their plans for closer business ties with
the United States, focusing on cooperation and investment from the US
technology, healthcare, tourism and transport sectors.
This echoes Riyadh's previous (and continuing) pursuit of British investment in rail, healthcare and construction projects.
While these openings promise more jobs for Saudis,
they also require a Saudi labour market capable of moving beyond the
managerial, engineering and medical sectors to also handling technical
jobs (an area Saudis still avoid).
Most press coverage of the National Transformation Programme
has revolved around floating Aramco to foreign investors and
the sovereign wealth fund, with job creation largely relegated to an
afterthought.
Any vision of true transformation, however, must place an equal
emphasis on encouraging generational change in the Saudi workforce and
society. This means taking into account the changing social aspirations,
habits and needs of Saudi youth.
Failings of the welfare state
Affluent young Saudis, frustrated with the failings of the
welfare state, have thus far embraced the Thatcheresque models
underpinning the National Transformation Programme. One cannot forget,
however, the downside of Thatcherite economics: ignoring unemployment.
Thus far, Saudi higher education has (despite its best
intentions) created an academic environment that prioritises producing
employees over scholars, blurring the boundaries of academia. Liberating
Saudi academics from this scholastic-industrial complex by creating and
expanding technical colleges would give greater focus to both areas and
produce Saudi workers better qualified to reduce reliance on foreign
labour.
Winding down generous scholarship programmes to universities
abroad and focusing on quality over quantity in domestic education
should do much to improve this long-standing labour issue. The new
economic platform must include even broader restructuring of education
expenditures to earn better returns on those investments.
Comparing the support enjoyed by the soon-to-be-announced
National Transformation Programme to past labour reforms, the failure of
the oil-based welfare state's Saudisation policies helps explain the
warm reception of the economic policies now being revealed.
This time around, the economic programme can and should
emphasise a population capable and encouraged to explore all fields of
work - including technical work. Otherwise, the issues that now plague theoil-based economy will remain. Faisal Abualhassan is a researcher at the King Faisal Center for Research and Islamic Studies. The views expressed in this article are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeera's editorial policy.
Ο όμιλος Binladin στη Σαουδική Αραβία απέλυσε 77.000 ξένους εργάτες
Ο κατασκευαστικός κολοσσός απασχολεί περίπου 200.000 αλλοδαπούς στη χώρα
Ο σαουδαραβικός κατασκευαστικός κολοσσός Binladin Group, που
αντιμετωπίζει σοβαρές οικονομικές δυσκολίες, απέλυσε 77.000 ξένους
εργάτες, υποστηρίζει σε σημερινό δημοσίευμά της η εφημερίδα Al-Watan
επικαλούμενη ένα στέλεχος του ομίλου.
Εδώ και πολλές ημέρες κυκλοφορούσαν φήμες για χιλιάδες απολύσεις, για
απλήρωτους μισθούς και για κινητοποιήσεις των εργαζομένων στον όμιλο ο
οποίος έχει αναλάβει ορισμένα από τα μεγαλύτερα έργα στη Σαουδική Αραβία
αλλά σήμερα πλήττεται από την πτώση της τιμής του πετρελαίου.
Ένας εκπρόσωπος του ομίλου που ρωτήθηκε για το θέμα από το Γαλλικό
Πρακτορείο, ο Γιασίν Αλάτας, επιβεβαίωσε ότι έγιναν απολύσεις, χωρίς
όμως να δώσει συγκεκριμένο αριθμό. Με βάση το δημοσίευμα, μέχρι την
Κυριακή είχαν απολυθεί 77.000 ξένοι εργάτες οι οποίοι «έλαβαν τη βίζα
εξόδου» από τη Σαουδική Αραβία. Ο όμιλος απασχολεί περίπου 200.000
αλλοδαπούς στη χώρα.
Το κύμα των απολύσεων μπορεί να συμπαρασύρει και «12.000-17.000
Σαουδάραβες που εργάζονται ως υπεύθυνοι, μηχανικοί, διοικητικοί
υπάλληλοι ή ελεγκτές» πρόσθεσε το ίδιο στέλεχος που δεν κατονομάζεται
από την εφημερίδα.
Η Binladin Group είναι μια οικογενειακή επιχείρηση που ιδρύθηκε το
1931 από τον πατέρα του Οσάμα μπιν Λάντεν, του ηγέτη της Αλ Κάιντα ο
οποίος σκοτώθηκε πριν από πέντε χρόνια από τις αμερικανικές ειδικές
δυνάμεις στο Πακιστάν.
Το ανώνυμο στέλεχος είπε ότι «η εταιρεία και τα υπουργεία Εργασίας
και Οικονομικών ευθύνονται» για την κατάσταση στην οποία έχει περιέλθει ο
όμιλος, χωρίς να διευκρινίσει τι ακριβώς τους προσάπτει. Το μισθολογικό
κόστος του ομίλου κυμαίνεται στα 2 δισεκατομμύρια ριάλ (466 εκατομμύρια
ευρώ) ενώ τα έργα που έχει αναλάβει στη Σαουδική Αραβία και σε άλλες
χώρες εκτιμώνται στα 136 δισεκ. ριάλ (32 δισεκ. ευρώ), πρόσθεσε το ίδιο
στέλεχος.
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